Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Identifier
6429
Date
2019
Document Type
Thesis
Degree Name
Master of Arts
Major
Political Science
Committee Chair
Michael Sances
Committee Member
Eric Groenendyk
Committee Member
Shelby Grossman
Abstract
With little oversight, high levels of discretion, and regular partisan elecitons, it is plausible that district attorneys may change their behavior or priorities as their own elections approach with the hope of being rewarded by the voters at the ballot box. I collect arrests and dispositions data from all thirty-one judicial districts in Tennessee from 2001-2017 to test whether district attorneys become tougher on crime leading up to their elections. I find that district attorneys are about one percentage point more punitive in election years than in non-election years. To assess whether voters do, in fact, reward district attorneys for this increased punitiveness, I analyze election results from the 2006 and 2014 elections. I find that there is no evidence of retrospective voting in district attorney elections but there is a statistically significant correlation between Democratic district attorney vote share and Democratic governor vote share duing same-year elections.
Library Comment
Dissertation or thesis originally submitted to the local University of Memphis Electronic Theses & dissertation (ETD) Repository.
Recommended Citation
Fulmer, Emily Kate, "Political Business Cycles and Retrospective Voting in District Attorney Elections in Tennessee" (2019). Electronic Theses and Dissertations. 1997.
https://digitalcommons.memphis.edu/etd/1997
Comments
Data is provided by the student.